Factor in the usual caveats about polling so soon after a change of government, but the latest Sun/YouGov poll is still pretty eyecatching. It has the Tories on 40 percent, Labour on 39 and the Lib Dems on 12 – the smallest gap between the two main parties since the election-that-never-was in October 2007. Here's a graph of the the two parties' positions since the beginnning of the...

For those of you not into going behind the Murdoch paywall, the Sunday Times has a YouGov poll of more than 1,000 Labour party members and 718 members of trade unions affiliated to the Labour party. It has the following results after transfers: Party Members D Miliband 48% E Miliband 52% Trade Unions D Miliband 43% E Miliband 57% MPs & MEPs D Miliband 56% E Miliband 44% Overall Electoral Colle...

There’s a new YouGov poll in The Sunday Times, just published, and it shows: CON 40%(+1), LAB 32%(nc), LIB DEM 18%(-3) A bit of a dip for the Lib Dems, with the party below 20% for the first time since ‘Cleggmania’ following the first televised leaders’ debate. Though before we grow too gloomy, the drop is within

Couple of problems with this new YouGov poll for Murdoch's super soaraway The Sun. Some of the ConDemNative bloggers and tweeters are loving the nation's response to the first question. But to these eyes that looks rather rigged and just a tad unscientific. Knowingly so. Though as a series develops it should become more meaningful. In the meantime watch out for screaming headlines that m...

Three polls published tonight: ComRes for Indy/ITV … CON 37%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LIB DEM 26%(nc) YouGov in the Sun … CON 35%(nc), LAB 30%(+2), LIB DEM 24%(-4) Harris in Metro … CON 36%(+4), LAB 26%(+1), LIB DEM 28%(-2) What to make of those? The YouGov poll is the least good news for the Lib Dems, showing a sharp 4%

Tonight's YouGov poll has the Tories on 40, Labour on 30 and the Lib Dems on 20, rounding off a good week for the Tories, The Tory marriage tax proposal has also just been unveiled. It will allow people who are in a marriage or a civil partnership who don't use all of their personal allowance--currently set at £6,475--to transfer it to their spouse as long as they do not earn more t...

The final pre-campaign YouGov poll has just been released and it shows the Tories over forty percent and ahead by ten percent, numbers that I suspect the party would have taken back in January and would be delighted to have repeated on election day. Even on a uniform national swing these results--Tories 41, Labour 31, Lib Dems 18--would produce a Tory majority, albeit a small one. This poll i...

A YouGov poll tonight has the Tory lead down to two points. The Tories are on 36, Labour 34 and the Lib Dems 17. Before we all get too excited about this narrowing of the Tory lead, we should note that the poll’s fieldwork was nearly all done before people were fully aware of what was in the Budget. This poll is grim news for the Tories. If in a week where we have seen a former Labour cabine...

Tonight’s YouGov poll has the Tory lead down to three points. The Tories have fallen three to 36, Labour is also down—dropping two to 32 while the Lib Dems are up four to twenty. Now, this is only one poll and we might find tomorrow night that it is a statistical blip and that the Tory lead is back to six points. But at the very least, the poll is going to give the Tory wobble story-li...

Tonight’s YouGov poll has Labour up one and the Tory lead down to five points. There’s also a BPIX survey in the Mail on Sunday which suggests that the Ashcroft operation might only net the Tories an extra 13 seats. While the News of the World reports on a Unite-led campaign to boost the Labour vote in the marginals. But the story getting the most buzz is the Mail on Sunday’s tha...