Today’s Evening Standard carries a new YouGov poll of London. The topline voting intention figures are CON 45%, LAB 33%, LDEM 16%. This represents a swing of 9.5% from the last general election, which is actually marginally lower than the swing to the Conservatives in the country as a whole, which the last YouGov poll

The sense that things are moving the Tories way will be further bolstered by YouGov for the Sunday Times which has the Tories ahead by ten points, 39 to 29. As Conservative Home points out, this is the first time this year that Labour have been below 30 with YouGov. It is also the biggest Tory lead with YouGov since their poll of the 7th of January. On a uniform national swing, this result would l...

The final pre-campaign YouGov poll has just been released and it shows the Tories over forty percent and ahead by ten percent, numbers that I suspect the party would have taken back in January and would be delighted to have repeated on election day. Even on a uniform national swing these results--Tories 41, Labour 31, Lib Dems 18--would produce a Tory majority, albeit a small one. This poll i...

The voting intention figures from YouGov’s poll for the Evening Standard last week have been released in today’s paper. The topline figures, with changes from the last general election, are: CON 43% (+11) LAB 37% (-2) LIB DEM 13%(-9) This represents a 6.5 point swing to the Tories. The poll was done at much the same time as the YouGov poll for the Sunday Times yesterday, which showed a...

CONSERVATIVES 45% (+2) LABOUR 33% (-4) LIB DEMS 16% (+3) YouGov: London moves further to the Tories A new YouGov poll on voting intentions in London is out in tonight’s Evening Standard. The comparisons above are with the last such poll which was published in mid-January. Then it appeared that the swing to Cameron’s party was less than in

Labour has fallen to its lowest ever opinion poll rating in a YouGov poll for The Sun. On the general election question, the Tories were at 41 down two from the last YouGov poll, Labour on 22 down five and the Lib Dems up one on 19. The Sun calculates that this would deliver the Tories a majority of 152. However, the poll contains numbers that should worry the Tories and show just how badly the ma...

Channel 4 news has a new YouGov poll of marginal seats. The poll covered Labour held Conservative target seats that require a swing between 3% and 7% to capture, the logic being that those “low hanging fruit” are certain Conservative gains in the present environment, so the battleground becomes those seats the Conservatives need to

A new Ipsos Mori poll out today shows Labour on 41% and the Tories on 37% in the marginals requiring a swing of 5-9%, i.e. the ones that would give the Tories a majority. To give you an idea of which seats these are, the 5% swing ones are places like Warwick & Leamington, Dover and Keighley (Con target numbers 98, 99 & 100) and the 9% swing ones are places like Harrow West, Middlesbrough S...

YouGov have repeated their poll of 60 Lab/Con marginal seats for Channel 4 (I wrote about the previous survey here). Labour’s share of the vote in these seats has increased by 6 points since the previous poll in early September, while the Conservatives are down 2 points. Whereas the previous YouGov marginal poll translated into

Last night I posted on a YouGov poll which had the Tories above forty and ahead by 12. It now turn out that those numbers were wrong and that the poll actually showed something very different—apologies for that. The real figures are Tories 399, Labour 33. Considering that this poll was conducted after the Rawnsley revelations had come out, it is going to add to the sense of nervousness on th...