Channel 4 news has a new YouGov poll of marginal seats. The poll covered Labour held Conservative target seats that require a swing between 3% and 7% to capture, the logic being that those “low hanging fruit” are certain Conservative gains in the present environment, so the battleground becomes those seats the Conservatives need to

Today’s Evening Standard carries a new YouGov poll of London. The topline voting intention figures are CON 45%, LAB 33%, LDEM 16%. This represents a swing of 9.5% from the last general election, which is actually marginally lower than the swing to the Conservatives in the country as a whole, which the last YouGov poll

The latest YouGov opinion poll for tomorrow's Daily Telegraph shows a Conservative lead of 11%. The figures are: Conservatives - 43%Labour - 32%Lib Dems - 16% The most recent YouGov poll (for the Sunday Times) put the Tory lead at...

A new YouGov poll for tomorrow's People newspaper shows the Tory lead remaining at 18%, in line with the most recent YouGov/Daily Telegraph poll from earlier this week. The figures are: Conservative - 45% (-) Labour - 27% (-) Liberal...

A second poll out tonight comes from YouGov in the Sunday Times. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov’s last poll taken the day of the pre-budget report, are CON 41%(+1), LAB 35%(-1), LDEM 15(+1). The poll was conducted on the 11th and 12th December. While there is a slight increase in the Conservative lead, there

More bad news for Gordon Brown and his bunch of incompetents. The Evening Standard is reporting that it's latest YouGov poll shows a massive swing (14 London seats) in favour of the Conservative Party. The graphic shows the change since 2005 in brackets.

The final pre-campaign YouGov poll has just been released and it shows the Tories over forty percent and ahead by ten percent, numbers that I suspect the party would have taken back in January and would be delighted to have repeated on election day. Even on a uniform national swing these results--Tories 41, Labour 31, Lib Dems 18--would produce a Tory majority, albeit a small one. This poll i...

Conservative Home has surveyed its Tory loyalist audience, and headlined the results of a 'grassroots' poll. Amazingly, 86% of ConHome readers (they headline this as 86% of Tory members, which is a nice bit of assimilation) would prefer a minority Conservative government to a coalition. Next contestant Conservative Home, special subject the bleeding obvious. And probably an equally large number of...

The BPIX poll in tomorrow's Mail on Sunday is as follows: Conservative 45% Labour 26% Liberal Democrat 17% I know of one half-witted Home Counties Conservative who is already salivating over the Liberal Democrat figure but we can rapidly ignore his partisan ramblings. I'm no fan of BPIX and I don't think they have the same credibility in polling circles as ICM or YouGov. The Tory bl...

A YouGov poll tonight has the Tory lead down to two points. The Tories are on 36, Labour 34 and the Lib Dems 17. Before we all get too excited about this narrowing of the Tory lead, we should note that the poll’s fieldwork was nearly all done before people were fully aware of what was in the Budget. This poll is grim news for the Tories. If in a week where we have seen a former Labour cabine...